History of the QBO


    The Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) is a change in direction of mean wind speed in the

stratosphere. The first observations related to the QBO was a result of the eruption of Krakatau in

1883. People noticed that ejecta that made it into the stratosphere seemed to move in an easterly

direction so these winds were deemed the “Krakatau easterlies”.
   
    In 1908, A. Berson launched balloons from tropical regions in Africa and saw a westerly tendency of the winds in the stratosphere, which

become known as “Berson Westerlies”. It was believed that the Krakatau easterlies layover the Berson

westerlies until 1954 when the transition was shown to vary year to year. In 1960 two scientist

independently discovered the QBO, R.J. Reed and R.A. Ebdon.

    Reed used rawinsonde data from Canton Island (2.8°S) and observed “alternate bands of

easterly and westerly winds which originate above 30 km and move downward through the stratosphere

at a speed of 1 km per month.” He also noted that the bands appeared about every 13 months which

gave a total cycle time of 26 months. Ebdon used data from Canton Island as well to eventually show

that the period was between 25-27 months as well as using other site around the equator to show that

the changes happen simultaneously around the equatorial belt. Later it was determined that westerly

shear descend quicker and more frequently than easterly shears.

In 1986, Wallace and Holton figured out a way to get a QBO using upward propagating gravity

and other atmospheric waves, this model was later improved by Plumb in 1977.



(Baldwin et al, 2001)


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